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The Buffalo Bills featured a pair of running backs on the wron

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Сообщение #1 panxing18 » 09.03.2019, 05:37

g side of 30 in 2018 Bills Marcus Murphy Jersey , and it’s fair to wonder if either will return for the 2019 campaign. Below, we look at Chris Ivory’s season and see what he brought to the table for the Buffalo Bills. At 3.3 yards per carry and a definitively “not eye-popping” 385 yards for the season, it’s already not looking good for the veteran. Play 1When most people discuss Chris Ivory’s benefit to the offense, they’re talking about this. No bells, whistles or anything like that. Just straight ahead, take-what-the-defense-gives-you runs—and Ivory certainly does do that. Note at the end of the run he lowers his head to get the last little bit available. Play 2With the inevitable comparisons to LeSean McCoy’s game, we may as well get started. McCoy simply can’t churn like this. Despite a small difference in weight (about 13 pounds according to Pro Football Reference) there’s a major difference in ability to push a pile. Play 3Here we have the same idea but on a quick toss to the outside. Ivory manages to keep his legs going and the end result is a first down. Also note that Ivory isn’t too shabby speed-wise getting outside. Play 4This isn’t McCoy’s level or even particularly close, but for a player who hit 30, this isn’t a bad ability to cut and dance around. Ivory isn’t a one-dimensional back and does have a little wiggle to supplement his power game. In addition to the change of direction, he remains balanced after contact. Play 5Here’s another thing I trust Ivory to do well more than McCoy. Ivory is an aggressive blocker who consistently buys a little extra time for his quarterback. This represents Ivory’s usual blocking style, preferring to get a quick “pop” to drive his man back at the point of contact. Play 6This is actually a one-yard loss but still an excellent play to discuss several things. Regarding Ivory, that’s good balance to spin out of the first tackle and get this to a loss of one rather than several. There’s not enough lead blockers to stop the Minnesota Vikings from turning this into a stop, which brings us to negative plays (no gain or loss).The perception this year was that Chris Ivory had far fewer negative runs than LeSean McCoy. While true, Ivory also had far fewer carries. When discussing rates, they’re shockingly similar. McCoy ran for no gain 11.2% of the time. Ivory? 11.3% of the time. McCoy lost yards 14.9% of his runs. Ivory lost yards 12.2% of his rushes. McCoy’s average loss was 2.3 yards. Ivory’s was 2.1 yards. We’ll circle back to this Youth Rafael Bush Jersey , but essentially both backs lost yards at nearly identical frequencies and amounts. Play 7Due to the length of this clip, we start mid-play. Ivory has leaked out of the backfield and sees Josh Allen being chased. Ivory wisely moves in the same direction and looks for the ball. Allen sees the open back and they connect for 55 yards. The only statistical measure where Ivory performed significantly better than McCoy was yards-per-catch. This reception is a good chunk of why. That’s not to sell Ivory short. He earned this and every catch, and showed he’s a threat in the passing game as well. Play 8There’s not much to discuss here, just enjoy. That’s a nice cut to break the tackle and more than adequate speed to get to the edge. Play 9Here’s Ivory’s best attributes all in one play. As he cuts through the line, he jumps to avoid being tripped and still gets to his position quickly. He makes the catch, quickly turns and starts running. He attempts to cut but is corralled. The first contact doesn’t drop him and the churning legs get just a bit more. SummarySimply due to age, the Bills would be taking a major gamble by relying on the tandem of LeSean McCoy and Chris Ivory. It would certainly be understandable if one or both didn’t return for the 2019 season. Despite his advanced NFL years and being the backup to a possible Hall of Fame talent in McCoy, there’s plenty of reason to keep Ivory around. As the clips show, he was quite versatile for the Bills—and not just in physical talent. The veteran was able to diagnose and help out in plays that a younger back might miss as they adjust to the speed of the game. There’s a valid concern about yards-per-carry, with Ivory’s in steady decline since 2015, his last over 4.0 yards per carry. With evidence strongly suggesting a major issue with the line, it’s not unreasonable to think Ivory would have had a respectable 2018 if there had been better blocking in front of him. Improvement on the offensive line should help Ivory, but the natural argument becomes justifying Ivory over McCoy or a promising youngster. Ivory’s presence would likely benefit a young player so there’s not much conflict there. If the Bills only stick with one of Ivory or McCoy, there’s actually an argument for Ivory. While age is the oft-cited problem for the position, there’s an argument that number of carries might be more important. McCoy enters the 2019 season with about 2 http://www.authenticsbuffalobills.com/cheap-vladimir-ducasse-jersey ,600 carries in his career. While Ivory is 112 days older than McCoy, he’s only accumulated about 1,300 carries. The Buffalo Bills found a gem in Jerry Hughes when they traded for him with the Indianapolis Colts. Now crossing the threshold of 30, he’s played in 96 games over six years in Buffalo and is still playing at a very high level. Buffalo should explore a contract extension with Hughes this off-season as he enters the final year of his contract.What would that contract look like? There is a lot of precedent for players entering their third contract at the age of 30 getting pretty hefty deals at defensive end. Frankly, the numbers will probably be eye-popping for many Bills fans, but Hughes has been underpaid over the last couple years making $9 million per season.Contract website spotrac.com has market-value projections on two players at or near 30; Detroit Lions pass rusher Ezekiel Ansah and Philadelphia Eagles defensive end Brandon Graham. Here’s a quick statistical comparison. It’s arbitrary and without context, but worthwhile in valuation.Games started over last five yearsHughes: 80Ansah: 61Graham: 58Sacks over last five yearsHughes: 32Ansah: 40Graham: 31Tackles over last five yearsHughes: 397Ansah: 333Graham: 421Snap counts over last five yearsHughes: 4047Ansah: 2478Graham: 3542It’s easy to say that Hughes has played more snaps and started more games, but his production (especially production per game) is below the other two. Graham has the same number of sacks and 25 more tackles in 22 fewer games and 500 fewer snaps. Ansah blows him away in per-game sacks: He averages 2/3 of a sack per game while Hughes is at just 40%. Graham’s projected contract from Spotrac:$15.8 million per yearFive years, $80 millionAnsah’s projected contract from Spotrac:$13.2 million per yearFour years, $53 millionSo it’s probably fair to assume Hughes won’t approach those numbers since the only thing he’s done better than them is stay on the field. (That’s valuable, don’t get me wrong.) Hughes has a current contract for $9 million per season over five years, and while it’s fair to expect a raise from that contract, that’s not the way the wind blew last year. Last off-season, Buffalo signed Trent Murphy to a $7.5 million per-year deal, and defensive ends on the market made less than that unless they were franchise-tagged. That would likely drive down the price for Hughes http://www.authenticsbuffalobills.com/cheap-jason-croom-jersey , but there’s a surge brewing.If Hughes and his agent are smart, they will wait until after all the huge deals get done at the start of free agency. With several big-name pass rushers expected to hit the market in March, per-year averages could soar. Conversely, the Bills should try to lock up Hughes while they still can get him for a discount before five guys sign huge deals this off-season. They have the cap space and they should sign one of their best defensive players for another few years.The time is right for both sides. Hughes can sign a lucrative deal before he turns 31 and hits free agency at nearly 32 before the 2020 season. The Bills get great production at a fair price for a few years.Here’s my projection:Three years, $33 million extensionFour years, $40.5 million total (including existing 2019)Fully guaranteed: $15.35 millionHughes and his camp can claim he received $11 million per year in new money, while the Bills can lock in Hughes at an average of $10 million per season. Both sides would probably agree to a sack-based incentive that could give him another $1 million each year as they did on his last contract.Yearly Breakdown2019 (Fully Guaranteed)Age: 31Salary: $6.35 millionRoster Bonus: $1 millionWorkout Bonus: $150,000Old Pro-Rated Money: $2.9 millionSigning Bonus: $2 millionCap Hit: $12.4 million2020Age: 32Signing Bonus: $2 millionRoster Bonus: $1 millionWorkout Bonus: $150,000Salary: $6.55 millionCap Hit: $9.7 million(Dead cap number: $6 million)2021Age: 33Signing Bonus: $2 millionRoster Bonus: $1 millionWorkout Bonus: $150,000Salary: $7 millionCap Hit: $10.15 million(Dead Cap Number: $4 million)2022Age: 34Signing Bonus: $2 millionRoster Bonus: $1 millionWorkout Bonus: $150,000Salary: $8 millionCap Hit: $11.15 million(Dead Cap Number): $2 million
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